By Liverpool vs Everton, Saturday 12.30pm
David Moyes is one of the best Managers in English football, there is no doubt, but His away record against the big boys, notably Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City, it’s dreadful, and this weekend, that’s the big red elephant in the room for Everton.
Everton will give it their all on derby day and of course, it will be tough to break down, but Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/8 is a fantastic price to attack.
Score Prediction: 2-0
Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals
Brighton vs Tottenham Hotspur, Saturday 3pm
Thomas Frank has worked wonders at Spurs in a remarkably short time, tightening up what was once a leaky defence into a disciplined, well organised unit, they have transformed from conceding goals regularly to frustrating even the most deadly attackers, Just one goal conceded from four games with three clean sheets is an impressive return, this improvement in the Spurs process means Brighton, known for attacking flair and chance creation, but a historical underperformance in front of goal, will struggle to break down Frank’s resilient Spurs side
Score Prediction: 0-1
Tottenham to win and under 2.5 goals
Burnley vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm
The abrupt managerial change at Nottingham Forest remains a difficult scenario to assess with serious questions about stability and style of play, and with Ange Postecoglou still settling in, Forest’s performance levels and results could dip, the players need time to adapt to new tactics and expectations, and that uncertainty is never a good look in the Premier League’s unforgiving environment.
Score Prediction: 1-0
West Ham United vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm
Graham Potter arrived at West Ham bringing fresh ideas and a calm, measured approach, but that calmness has started to look more like cold silence and in a place like West Ham, that just doesn’t cut it, this is a fanbase that are full of passion for their club, one that want a manager who can not only deliver results but also spark something special and embody the club, they want real connection, that’s where Potter’s lack of charisma is really hurting Him, things could get ugly, so backing Crystal Palace with a -1 handicap looks the way in.
Score Prediction: 1-3
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leeds United, Saturday 3pm
Anton Stach might be a player we’re talking about more in the next few months, He has quietly but effectively stamped His mark on Leeds since arriving, bringing energy, intelligent positioning and a calming presence in midfield, His box to box runs and eye for a key pass have steadily increased Leeds’ creativity and control, even if the goals haven’t quite come yet, Stach is the only Premier League player to reach double figures for shots (10) and chances created (10) this season.
Score Prediction: 1-2
Manchester United vs Chelsea, Saturday 5.30pm
For all their obvious struggles, Manchester United’s attack have been creating chances this season, ust one goal scored from open play to a backdrop off expected goals is a significant underperformance and suggests big moments are being created, just not taken, Bryan Mbeumo to score is a good bet. He’s getting into the right areas and has hit the target six times from his 18 shots this season, scoring against Burnley, a big moment looks around the corner for a player who, for a change, seems to be thriving in the environment at Old Trafford.
Score Prediction: 2-2
Fulham vs Brentford, Saturday 8pm
Away wins are on the rise in the Premier League and it’s shaking up the traditional ‘home advantage’ narrative we’ve all been used to for years and one that is still factored, perhaps too heavily, into the way markets are priced up, Managers are more willing to take the game to their opponents and possess much more data insight from analysts into the weaknesses of opponents.
Gone are the days when away teams would just hunker down and hope for a draw, games are there to be won now, Fulham have won only four of their last 14 Premier League games at Craven Cottage and were very lacklustre and fortunate to win 1-0 over Leeds in their last outing
Score Prediction: 1-2
Bournemouth vs Newcastle United, Sunday 2pm
Andoni Iraola is creating a strong body of work when it comes to facing Eddie Howe, when these two meet, Iraola’s tactical set up tends to frustrate Newcastle’s game which is centred on physicality, Iraola’s teams are brilliant at shutting down space, disrupting patterns of play and hitting on the counter with sharp, clinical transitions, it’s that balance of defensive rigidity and quickfire attacking that has consistently caught Howe’s sides off guard, in four meetings, Iraola is unbeaten against Howe, winning twice, and the underlying data paints a very clear picture of how Bournemouth have dominated the Toon, the home win is likely to be very good bet.
Score Prediction: 2-1
Sunderland vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm
The Aston Villa downward trajectory wasn’t something saw coming, and while they remain in this malaise, it’s hard to trust them to win football matches when priced up as the favourites.
The glaring issue is their lack of cutting edge in the final third, chance creation? It’s been painfully limited, to carry this goal drought weight with you to a place like the Stadium of Light, where the home crowd is a 12th man and the team is expertly drilled, doesn’t inspire much confidence that this is where things will spark for Villa, the home side on the draw no bet looks the way to play.
Score Prediction: 2-1
Arsenal vs Manchester City, Sunday
Gabriel Magalhaes vs Erling Haaland is always a riveting and blockbuster sideshow when these two rivals meet, there’s animosity and with it comes excellent betting angles surrounding Haaland’s foul output, in eight meetings where He’s come up against Gabriel, the bulldozing City forward has made 16 fouls, so working to a two per game average, that is a spike on His usual foul data and something which is not factored into the way Haaland’s foul probabilities are priced up by the traders.
